Global Macroeconomic Risks Analysis

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Предмет: Макроэкономика
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  • Добавлена 23.01.2014
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Contents

Introduction 3
1. Global macroeconomic risks 5
2. Global financial stability 16
3. Economic risks in Nordic economies 20
Conclusion 26
Literature 28
Фрагмент для ознакомления

Review of Financial Studies,12(1).
Fariborz Moshirian. Global financial stability: http://www.elsevier.com/social-sciences/economics-and-finance/virtual-special-issues-from-the-journal-of-banking-and-finance/global-financial-stability.
Global Financial Stability Report. A Report by the Monetary and Capital Markets Department on Market Developments and Issues: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/GFSR.
Global Financial Stability Report: http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/10/imf-financial-idUSL1E8L9OQC20121010.
International Monetary Fund (IMF), 2012, “Restoring Confidence and Containing Global Spillovers”, Global Financial Stability Report 2/2, (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
International Monetary Fund (IMF), 2013, “Nordic Regional Report”, IMF Country Report 13/274, (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
Kaplan, R.S. & Mikes, A. Managing Risks: A New Framework. In Harvard Business Review, 2012.
Laeven, Luc and Ross Levine, 2009, “Bank Governance, Regulation, and Risk Taking” Journal of Financial Economics 93(2).
Macroeconomic and country risk outlook. Economic outlook № 1999, 2012, September.
Macroeconomic Assessment Group (MAG), 2012, “Assessing the Macroeconomic Impact of the Transition to Stronger Capital and Liquidity Requirements: Final Report”, (Basel: Bank for International Settlements).
Macroeconomic risks to economy rising:http://profit.ndtv.com/news/economy/article-macroeconomic-risks-to-economy-rising-rbi-323810.
Macroeconomic risks. 2013 Outlook: http://www.pirelli.com/corporate/en/investors/risk/external_risks/macroeconomic_risks/default.html.
Review of macroeconomic factors and risks:http://www.mrsk-cp.ru/?id=4737.
Saunders, Anthony and Linda Allen (2012), Credit Risk Measurement – New Approaches to Value at Risk and Other Paradigms, New York: John Wiley & Sons.
Special Report: Building National Resilience to Global Risks: http://reports.weforum.org/global-risks-2013/view/section-three/special-report-building-national-resilience-to-global-risks.
The Global Risks 2013 report, Eighth Edition: http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GlobalRisks_Report_2013.pdf.
Vitek, F., 2012, “Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy: A Panel Unobserved Components Approach”, IMF Working Paper 12/149, (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
Laeven, Luc and Ross Levine, 2009, “Bank Governance, Regulation, and Risk Taking” Journal of Financial Economics 93(2).
Duffee, G. (2009), Estimating the Price of Default Risk. Review of Financial Studies,12(1).
Ibid.
Kaplan, R.S. & Mikes, A. Managing Risks: A New Framework. In Harvard Business Review, 2012.
Ibid.
Ibid.
Macroeconomic and country risk outlook. Economic outlook № 1999, 2012, September.
Ibid.
Comfort, L. K., Boin, A., & Demchak, C. C. The Rise of Resilience, in Designing Resilience: Preparing for extreme events. Pittsburg: University of Pittsburgh Press, 2010.
International Monetary Fund (IMF), 2012, “Restoring Confidence and Containing Global Spillovers”, Global Financial Stability Report 2/2, (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
Duffee, G. (2009), Estimating the Price of Default Risk. Review of Financial Studies,12(1).
Ibid.
Duffee, G. (2009), Estimating the Price of Default Risk. Review of Financial Studies,12(1).
International Monetary Fund (IMF), 2012, “Restoring Confidence and Containing Global Spillovers”, Global Financial Stability Report 2/2, (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
The Global Risks 2013 report, Eighth Edition: http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GlobalRisks_Report_2013.pdf.
Macroeconomic and country risk outlook. Economic outlook № 1999, 2012, September.
The Global Risks 2013 report, Eighth Edition: http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GlobalRisks_Report_2013.pdf.
International Monetary Fund (IMF), 2012, “Restoring Confidence and Containing Global Spillovers”, Global Financial Stability Report 2/2, (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
International Monetary Fund (IMF), 2012, “Restoring Confidence and Containing Global Spillovers”, Global Financial Stability Report 2/2, (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
Ibid.
Macroeconomic and country risk outlook. Economic outlook № 1999, 2012, September.
Carey, M. (2012), A Guide to Choosing Absolute Bank Capital Requirements, Journal of Banking & Finance, 26 (5).
International Monetary Fund (IMF), 2012, “Restoring Confidence and Containing Global Spillovers”, Global Financial Stability Report 2/2, (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
Ibid.
Macroeconomic and country risk outlook. Economic outlook № 1999, 2012, September.
The Global Risks 2013 report, Eighth Edition: http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GlobalRisks_Report_2013.pdf.
Ibid.
Macroeconomic and country risk outlook. Economic outlook № 1999, 2012, September.
Duffee, G. (2009), Estimating the Price of Default Risk. Review of Financial Studies,12(1).
Carey, M. (2012), A Guide to Choosing Absolute Bank Capital Requirements, Journal of Banking & Finance, 26 (5).
Ibid.
Ibid.
Review of macroeconomic factors and risks:http://www.mrsk-cp.ru/?id=4737.
Macroeconomic and country risk outlook. Economic outlook № 1999, 2012, September.
Ibid.
Macroeconomic risks to economy rising:http://profit.ndtv.com/news/economy/article-macroeconomic-risks-to-economy-rising-rbi-323810.
Saunders, Anthony and Linda Allen (2012), Credit Risk Measurement – New Approaches to Value at Risk and Other Paradigms, New York: John Wiley & Sons.
Duffee, G. (2009), Estimating the Price of Default Risk. Review of Financial Studies,12(1).
Macroeconomic and country risk outlook. Economic outlook № 1999, 2012, September.
Ibid.

Ibid.
Duffee, G. (2009), Estimating the Price of Default Risk. Review of Financial Studies,12(1).
Macroeconomic and country risk outlook. Economic outlook № 1999, 2012, September.
Carey, M. (2012), A Guide to Choosing Absolute Bank Capital Requirements, Journal of Banking & Finance, 26 (5).
The Global Risks 2013 report, Eighth Edition: http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GlobalRisks_Report_2013.pdf.
Ibid.
Duffee, G. (2009), Estimating the Price of Default Risk. Review of Financial Studies,12(1).
Beck, Thorsten, Asli Demirgüç-Kunt, and Ross Levine. 2012. Finance, Inequality and the Poor, Journal of Economic Growth, 20012, 12(1).
International Monetary Fund (IMF), 2012, “Restoring Confidence and Containing Global Spillovers”, Global Financial Stability Report 2/2, (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
Ibid.
Duffee, G. (2009), Estimating the Price of Default Risk. Review of Financial Studies,12(1).
Carey, M. (2012), A Guide to Choosing Absolute Bank Capital Requirements, Journal of Banking & Finance, 26 (5).
Ibid.
International Monetary Fund (IMF), 2012, “Restoring Confidence and Containing Global Spillovers”, Global Financial Stability Report 2/2, (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
Duffee, G. (2009), Estimating the Price of Default Risk. Review of Financial Studies,12(1).
Saunders, Anthony and Linda Allen (2012), Credit Risk Measurement – New Approaches to Value at Risk and Other Paradigms, New York: John Wiley & Sons.
Macroeconomic and country risk outlook. Economic outlook № 1999, 2012, September.
Carey, M. (2012), A Guide to Choosing Absolute Bank Capital Requirements, Journal of Banking & Finance, 26 (5).
Macroeconomic and country risk outlook. Economic outlook № 1999, 2012, September.
Fariborz Moshirian. Global financial stability: http://www.elsevier.com/social-sciences/economics-and-finance/virtual-special-issues-from-the-journal-of-banking-and-finance/global-financial-stability.
Saunders, Anthony and Linda Allen (2012), Credit Risk Measurement – New Approaches to Value at Risk and Other Paradigms, New York: John Wiley & Sons.
Macroeconomic and country risk outlook. Economic outlook № 1999, 2012, September.
Special Report: Building National Resilience to Global Risks: http://reports.weforum.org/global-risks-2013/view/section-three/special-report-building-national-resilience-to-global-risks.
Duffee, G. (2009), Estimating the Price of Default Risk. Review of Financial Studies,12(1).
Global Financial Stability Report. A Report by the Monetary and Capital Markets Department on Market Developments and Issues: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/GFSR.
Saunders, Anthony and Linda Allen (2012), Credit Risk Measurement – New Approaches to Value at Risk and Other Paradigms, New York: John Wiley & Sons.
Macroeconomic and country risk outlook. Economic outlook № 1999, 2012, September.
Beck, Thorsten, Asli Demirgüç-Kunt, and Ross Levine. 2012. Finance, Inequality and the Poor, Journal of Economic Growth, 2012, 12(1).
Ibid.
Duffee, G. (2009), Estimating the Price of Default Risk. Review of Financial Studies,12(1).
Macroeconomic and country risk outlook. Economic outlook № 1999, 2012, September.
Beck, Thorsten, Asli Demirgüç-Kunt, and Ross Levine. 2012. Finance, Inequality and the Poor, Journal of Economic Growth, 2012, 12(1).
Macroeconomic and country risk outlook. Economic outlook № 1999, 2012, September.
Fariborz Moshirian. Global financial stability: http://www.elsevier.com/social-sciences/economics-and-finance/virtual-special-issues-from-the-journal-of-banking-and-finance/global-financial-stability.
Fariborz Moshirian. Global financial stability: http://www.elsevier.com/social-sciences/economics-and-finance/virtual-special-issues-from-the-journal-of-banking-and-finance/global-financial-stability.
Saunders, Anthony and Linda Allen (2012), Credit Risk Measurement – New Approaches to Value at Risk and Other Paradigms, New York: John Wiley & Sons.
Macroeconomic and country risk outlook. Economic outlook № 1999, 2012, September.
International Monetary Fund (IMF), 2012, “Restoring Confidence and Containing Global Spillovers”, Global Financial Stability Report 2/2, (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
Macroeconomic and country risk outlook. Economic outlook № 1999, 2012, September.
Ibid.
Ibid.
Saunders, Anthony and Linda Allen (2012), Credit Risk Measurement – New Approaches to Value at Risk and Other Paradigms, New York: John Wiley & Sons.
Global Financial Stability Report: http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/10/imf-financial-idUSL1E8L9OQC20121010.
International Monetary Fund (IMF), 2013, “Nordic Regional Report”, IMF Country Report 13/274, (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
Beck, Thorsten, Asli Demirgüç-Kunt, and Ross Levine. 2012. Finance, Inequality and the Poor, Journal of Economic Growth, 2012, 12(1).
Saunders, Anthony and Linda Allen (2012), Credit Risk Measurement – New Approaches to Value at Risk and Other Paradigms, New York: John Wiley & Sons.
International Monetary Fund (IMF), 2013, “Nordic Regional Report”, IMF Country Report 13/274, (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
Saunders, Anthony and Linda Allen (2012), Credit Risk Measurement – New Approaches to Value at Risk and Other Paradigms, New York: John Wiley & Sons.
Beck, Thorsten, Asli Demirgüç-Kunt, and Ross Levine. 2012. Finance, Inequality and the Poor, Journal of Economic Growth, 2012, 12(1).
Ibid.
International Monetary Fund (IMF), 2013, “Nordic Regional Report”, IMF Country Report 13/274, (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
International Monetary Fund (IMF), 2012, “Restoring Confidence and Containing Global Spillovers”, Global Financial Stability Report 2/2, (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
Macroeconomic and country risk outlook. Economic outlook № 1999, 2012, September.
International Monetary Fund (IMF), 2013, “Nordic Regional Report”, IMF Country Report 13/274, (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
Macroeconomic and country risk outlook. Economic outlook № 1999, 2012, September.
International Monetary Fund (IMF), 2013, “Nordic Regional Report”, IMF Country Report 13/274, (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
Ibid.
Vitek, F., 2012, “Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy: A Panel Unobserved Components Approach”, IMF Working Paper 12/149, (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
International Monetary Fund (IMF), 2012, “Restoring Confidence and Containing Global Spillovers”, Global Financial Stability Report 2/2, (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
International Monetary Fund (IMF), 2012, “Restoring Confidence and Containing Global Spillovers”, Global Financial Stability Report 2/2, (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
Macroeconomic and country risk outlook. Economic outlook № 1999, 2012, September.
Ibid.
Ibid.
International Monetary Fund (IMF), 2012, “Restoring Confidence and Containing Global Spillovers”, Global Financial Stability Report 2/2, (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
International Monetary Fund (IMF), 2013, “Nordic Regional Report”, IMF Country Report 13/274, (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
Macroeconomic and country risk outlook. Economic outlook № 1999, 2012, September.
Macroeconomic Assessment Group (MAG), 2012, “Assessing the Macroeconomic Impact of the Transition to Stronger Capital and Liquidity Requirements: Final Report”,(Basel: Bank for International Settlements).
International Monetary Fund (IMF), 2012, “Restoring Confidence and Containing Global Spillovers”, Global Financial Stability Report 2/2, (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
International Monetary Fund (IMF), 2013, “Nordic Regional Report”, IMF Country Report 13/274, (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
Macroeconomic risks. 2013 Outlook: http://www.pirelli.com/corporate/en/investors/risk/external_risks/macroeconomic_risks/default.html.
International Monetary Fund (IMF), 2013, “Nordic Regional Report”, IMF Country Report 13/274, (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
Macroeconomic and country risk outlook. Economic outlook № 1999, 2012, September.
Ibid.
International Monetary Fund (IMF), 2013, “Nordic Regional Report”, IMF Country Report 13/274, (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
Ibid.
Ibid.
International Monetary Fund (IMF), 2012, “Restoring Confidence and Containing Global Spillovers”, Global Financial Stability Report 2/2, (Washington: International Monetary Fund).












29

Literature


1. Beck, Thorsten, Asli Demirgüç-Kunt, and Ross Levine. 2012. Finance, Inequality and the Poor, Journal of Economic Growth, 2012, 12(1).
2. Carey, M. (2012), A Guide to Choosing Absolute Bank Capital Requirements, Journal of Banking & Finance, 26 (5).
3. Comfort, L. K., Boin, A., & Demchak, C. C. The Rise of Resilience, in Designing Resilience: Preparing for extreme events. Pittsburg: University of Pittsburgh Press, 2010.
4. Duffee, G. (2009), Estimating the Price of Default Risk. Review of Financial Studies,12(1).
5. Fariborz Moshirian. Global financial stability: http://www.elsevier.com/social-sciences/economics-and-finance/virtual-special-issues-from-the-journal-of-banking-and-finance/global-financial-stability.
6. Global Financial Stability Report. A Report by the Monetary and Capital Markets Department on Market Developments and Issues: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/GFSR.
7. Global Financial Stability Report: http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/10/imf-financial-idUSL1E8L9OQC20121010.
8. International Monetary Fund (IMF), 2012, “Restoring Confidence and Containing Global Spillovers”, Global Financial Stability Report 2/2, (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
9. International Monetary Fund (IMF), 2013, “Nordic Regional Report”, IMF Country Report 13/274, (Washington: International Monetary Fund).
10. Kaplan, R.S. & Mikes, A. Managing Risks: A New Framework. In Harvard Business Review, 2012.
11. Laeven, Luc and Ross Levine, 2009, “Bank Governance, Regulation, and Risk Taking” Journal of Financial Economics 93(2).
12. Macroeconomic and country risk outlook. Economic outlook № 1999, 2012, September.
13. Macroeconomic Assessment Group (MAG), 2012, “Assessing the Macroeconomic Impact of the Transition to Stronger Capital and Liquidity Requirements: Final Report”, (Basel: Bank for International Settlements).
14. Macroeconomic risks to economy rising:http://profit.ndtv.com/news/economy/article-macroeconomic-risks-to-economy-rising-rbi-323810.
15. Macroeconomic risks. 2013 Outlook: http://www.pirelli.com/corporate/en/investors/risk/external_risks/macroeconomic_risks/default.html.
16. Review of macroeconomic factors and risks:http://www.mrsk-cp.ru/?id=4737.
17. Saunders, Anthony and Linda Allen (2012), Credit Risk Measurement – New Approaches to Value at Risk and Other Paradigms, New York: John Wiley & Sons.
18. Special Report: Building National Resilience to Global Risks: http://reports.weforum.org/global-risks-2013/view/section-three/special-report-building-national-resilience-to-global-risks.
19. The Global Risks 2013 report, Eighth Edition: http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GlobalRisks_Report_2013.pdf.
20. Vitek, F., 2012, “Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy: A Panel Unobserved Components Approach”, IMF Working Paper 12/149, (Washington: International Monetary Fund).

Вопрос-ответ:

Что такое глобальные макроэкономические риски?

Глобальные макроэкономические риски - это потенциальные угрозы, которые могут повлиять на мировую экономику в целом. Они могут включать в себя факторы, такие как экономические спады, инфляция, политическая нестабильность, изменения валютных курсов и другие внешние факторы, которые могут иметь отрицательное влияние на мировой рынок и национальные экономики.

Какие факторы влияют на глобальную финансовую стабильность?

Глобальную финансовую стабильность могут влиять различные факторы. Это может быть нестабильность в банковской системе, растущий уровень задолженности, повышенный уровень рисков в финансовых рынках и другие факторы, которые могут вызвать финансовый кризис. Также на финансовую стабильность могут влиять политическая нестабильность, изменения валютных курсов и регулятивные меры правительств и международных организаций.

Каковы экономические риски в странах Северной Европы?

Экономические риски в странах Северной Европы могут быть связаны с такими факторами, как спад в мировой экономике, изменение международных торговых условий, повышенная политическая нестабильность в регионе, финансовый кризис или другие факторы. Конкретные риски могут различаться в зависимости от каждой отдельной страны, но общие экономические факторы могут иметь отрицательное влияние на рост и стабильность экономик Северной Европы.

Какие выводы можно сделать из анализа глобальных макроэкономических рисков?

Анализ глобальных макроэкономических рисков может привести к нескольким выводам. Во-первых, он позволяет выявить потенциальные угрозы для мировой экономики и национальных экономик разных стран. Во-вторых, анализ позволяет оценить уровень финансовой стабильности и определить факторы, которые могут нарушить эту стабильность. В-третьих, анализ может быть использован для принятия мер по снижению рисков и улучшению экономической стабильности.

Какие макроэкономические риски анализируются в статье?

Анализируются глобальные макроэкономические риски.

Что такое глобальная финансовая стабильность?

Глобальная финансовая стабильность - это состояние международной финансовой системы, при котором нет значительных потрясений или кризисов.

Какие экономические риски присутствуют в экономиках стран Скандинавии?

В экономиках стран Скандинавии присутствуют экономические риски.

Почему важно анализировать глобальные макроэкономические риски?

Анализ глобальных макроэкономических рисков важен для прогнозирования возможных кризисов и принятия мер для обеспечения стабильности мировой экономики.

Какие выводы можно сделать из статьи?

Можно сделать вывод, что анализ глобальных макроэкономических рисков и финансовой стабильности является важным для сбалансированного развития экономики и предотвращения кризисов.

Какие риски анализируются в статье "Global Macroeconomic Risks Analysis"?

В статье анализируются глобальные макроэкономические риски, экономические риски в экономиках стран Северной Европы и глобальная финансовая стабильность.

Какие проблемы связаны с глобальной финансовой стабильностью, рассмотренные в статье?

В статье рассматриваются такие проблемы, как угрозы финансовой стабильности на глобальном уровне, проблемы с монетарной и финансовой политикой, а также потенциальные угрозы вывода средств из развивающихся стран.

Какие экономические риски описаны в статье относительно экономик стран Северной Европы?

В статье описываются экономические риски, связанные с бюджетными дефицитами, долговыми проблемами, нестабильностью финансовых рынков и налоговой политикой в странах Северной Европы.